Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 3.108457 3.280022 3.461564 3.668936 3.900480 4.152515 4.449615
2025-07-20 2.903052 3.147154 3.419171 3.748448 4.141490 4.602766 5.196518
2025-07-27 2.793377 3.099129 3.455662 3.910923 4.490851 5.226874 6.273037
2025-08-03 2.673552 3.021944 3.443633 4.007333 4.768824 5.810968 7.454709
2025-08-10 2.517184 2.883046 3.337945 3.967186 4.857013 6.152910 8.396429
2025-08-17 2.344336 2.708296 3.168919 3.820957 4.772908 6.223513 8.924073
2025-08-24 2.220123 2.585778 3.056438 3.737818 4.764804 6.404974 9.713185
2025-08-31 2.132355 2.503832 2.990196 3.710734 4.833820 6.722229 10.907829
2025-09-07 2.040585 2.410542 2.901109 3.640700 4.823967 6.897966 11.886373
2025-09-14 1.954637 2.320140 2.809774 3.558551 4.782747 7.006171 12.767716
2025-09-21 1.874292 2.233300 2.718173 3.468255 4.716595 7.052863 13.523061
2025-09-28 1.817959 2.176430 2.665503 3.433080 4.739821 7.283309 15.012975
2025-10-05 1.799006 2.174338 2.697057 3.542318 5.052456 8.261973 20.630732
2025-10-12 1.764147 2.148560 2.692929 3.595277 5.275685 9.147661 28.662239
2025-10-19 1.752064 2.154283 2.735962 3.731468 5.691396 10.768968 54.721030
2025-10-26 1.726244 2.138656 2.745213 3.810905 6.011290 12.373237 151.287288
2025-11-02 1.675123 2.083496 2.689432 3.769001 6.056910 13.112425 665.308308
2025-11-09 1.607179 2.000872 2.586265 3.632764 5.864814 12.861391 2006.435270
2025-11-16 1.556187 1.941610 2.517523 3.555197 5.801846 13.125352 NaN
2025-11-23 1.519469 1.902177 2.478394 3.529435 5.859770 13.964026 NaN
2025-11-30 1.477174 1.852859 2.421025 3.464916 5.812617 14.314549 NaN
2025-12-07 1.435134 1.802594 2.360055 3.389511 5.728296 14.452162 NaN
2025-12-14 1.393838 1.752275 2.297145 3.306686 5.615455 14.398945 NaN